{"id":2522,"date":"2023-12-10T19:36:35","date_gmt":"2023-12-10T19:36:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/oldprof.nhltradetalk.com\/?p=2522"},"modified":"2023-12-10T19:36:36","modified_gmt":"2023-12-10T19:36:36","slug":"good-bad-ugly-maple-leafs-shutout-opredators","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/oldprof.nhltradetalk.com\/index.php\/2023\/12\/10\/good-bad-ugly-maple-leafs-shutout-opredators\/","title":{"rendered":"The Good, Bad &#038; Ugly in Maple Leafs 4-0 Shutout of Predators"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>By Stan Smith<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Will the real Toronto Maple Leafs please stand up?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Maple Leafs just played two games that were the opposites.\u00a0Thursday night, they played one of their sloppiest games of the season but pulled out the win against the Ottawa Senators because of stellar goaltending by Joseph Woll and a baseball-like save from Martin Jones.\u00a0They came back Saturday night with one of their tightest games of the season and shut out the Nashville Predators 4-0.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>How different were those games?\u00a0According to Naturalstattrick.com, in Ottawa, the Maple Leafs could only muster seven High-Danger Scoring Chances to 16 for the Senators.\u00a0 Despite outscoring Ottawa 4-3, Toronto only had 32% of the Expected Goals compared to 68% for the Senators. By the eye test, the two Toronto goalies saw more Red, White, and Black jerseys in front of them than they did Bue and White.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On Saturday night in Toronto, it was the Maple Leafs who had 17 High-Danger Scoring Chances to just six for the Predators. The Maple Leafs also had 73% of the Expected Goals to just 27% by Nashville.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong>Related: <a href=\"https:\/\/oldprof.nhltradetalk.com\/index.php\/2023\/12\/07\/marlies-midweek-report-exciting-win-vs-griffins\/\">Marlies Midweek Report:\u00a0Exciting Win Vs. Griffins<\/a>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Good<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>This was by far the most complete, four-line game the Maple Leafs have played this season.\u00a0If we break down the shots on the net by the forward lines, we see that the fourth line had eight shots, the first line had eight shots, the third line had seven shots, and the second line had nine shots.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1000\" height=\"600\" src=\"https:\/\/oldprof.nhltradetalk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/Auston-Matthews-John-Tavares-Maple-Leafs-Upper-Deck.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-369\" srcset=\"https:\/\/oldprof.nhltradetalk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/Auston-Matthews-John-Tavares-Maple-Leafs-Upper-Deck.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/oldprof.nhltradetalk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/Auston-Matthews-John-Tavares-Maple-Leafs-Upper-Deck-300x180.jpg 300w, https:\/\/oldprof.nhltradetalk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/Auston-Matthews-John-Tavares-Maple-Leafs-Upper-Deck-768x461.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>According to Naturalstattrick.com, at five-on-five hockey, 16 of the 18 skaters had 50% or more of the High-Danger Scoring Chances, and 15 skaters had Expected Goals of over 50%.\u00a0Looking specifically at the High-Danger Scoring Chances Against, seven skaters did not have a single High-Danger Scoring Chances Against. Another six skaters were on the ice for just one High-Danger Scoring Chances Against.\u00a0Only five skaters, three forwards, and two defensemen were on the ice for more than one High-Danger Scoring Chance.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Fourth Line<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>This was one of the season&#8217;s best games for the fourth line when Ryan Reaves was on the line.\u00a0Reaves played 8:34 in this game and was a positive in every analytical category.\u00a0By the eye test, he did turn the puck over once. However, overall he was more noticeable for the right reasons instead of the wrong ones.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Reaves even had a play in the defensive zone where he rode an opposing player off the puck and kept the player tied up while a teammate came in and took control of the puck. Amazingly, he did it legally. Reaves also set Kampf up for a decent scoring play in the second period.\u00a0I was not happy to see Reaves in the lineup, but I was impressed with his play.\u00a0I still think the Maple Leafs need a better long-term answer for that roster spot but if Reaves keeps playing like he did in this game I won\u2019t worry about it as much.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">It Looked As If the Maple Leafs Would Once Again Squander Scoring Chances<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>In a game where the Maple Leafs were dominating but couldn\u2019t get one by Predators\u2019 goalie Kevin Lankinen for over half the game, it was starting to look like a game where the wasted scoring chances were going to come back to bite them. However, David Kampf finally lit the goal light.\u00a0Kampf scored a goalscorer&#8217;s goal at 14:15 of the second period.\u00a0On the play, he took a stretch pass up the middle from Conor Timmins, split the defence, and used his body to ward off Nashville defenseman Ryan McDonagh. He then went backhand, forehand, over Lankinen\u2019s glove hand.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"710\" height=\"1000\" src=\"https:\/\/oldprof.nhltradetalk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/David.-Kampf.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-430\" srcset=\"https:\/\/oldprof.nhltradetalk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/David.-Kampf.jpeg 710w, https:\/\/oldprof.nhltradetalk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/David.-Kampf-213x300.jpeg 213w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 710px) 100vw, 710px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">David Kampf, Maple Leafs<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>Kampf came close to scoring a second goal 14 seconds later on the same shift. Altogether Kampf had five shots in the game, the most he has had in a game this season. After going goalless in his first 14 games of the season, Kampf has three goals in his past ten games. Two of these goals have come in his last two games.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The quietest player on the fourth line in this game was Noah Gregor.\u00a0Gregor did contribute though, scoring an empty net goal to quell any thoughts of the Predators building a comeback.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Matthews, Nylander, and Knies<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Auston Matthews took over the rest of the scoring, potting the second and third Maple Leafs goals.\u00a0William Nylander assisted on both goals.\u00a0Matthews has 18 goals on the season, which places him second in goals in the league. That&#8217;s one behind Nikita Kucherov. He&#8217;s on pace to score 61 goals. Matthews is having a strange season when it comes to scoring goals.\u00a0He has gone scoreless in 15 of the 24 games he has played.\u00a0When he does score he scores in bunches.\u00a0He has six multiple-goal games, three hat tricks, and three games with two goals. Matthews has only three games in which he has scored just one goal.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Nylander Is Returning to Early Season Form and Playing Great Defence<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Nylander\u2019s two assists bring his points total to 32 in 24 games, a 109-point pace for the season.\u00a0After going pointless in three consecutive games since returning from Sweden, Nylander is starting to pick up his scoring pace again, with five points in his last four games.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"700\" height=\"980\" src=\"https:\/\/oldprof.nhltradetalk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/william-nylander2.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-223\" srcset=\"https:\/\/oldprof.nhltradetalk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/william-nylander2.jpeg 700w, https:\/\/oldprof.nhltradetalk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/william-nylander2-214x300.jpeg 214w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">William Nylander, Maple Leafs Rookie Card<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>I think we can finally lay to rest the notion that Nylander is weak defensively.\u00a0On both goals, Matthews scored on plays started with Nylander earning the puck defensively in his own zone.\u00a0On the first goal, the play starts with Nylander and John Tavares winning a puck battle deep in the Toronto zone. It finishes with Matthews tucking a perfect pass from Matthews behind Lankinen.\u00a0On the second goal, Nylander hustles back to break up a Nashville three-on-two in the Toronto zone before heading up ice with the puck and hitting Matthews with a cross-ice pass.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Matthews Knies didn\u2019t figure into the scoring, but he did make an impact. Knies set a physical tone early, throwing two solid hits on his first shift of the game. Knies leads the Maple Leafs with 46 hits on the season.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong>Related: <a href=\"https:\/\/oldprof.nhltradetalk.com\/index.php\/2023\/12\/05\/beneath-surface-maple-leafs-best-player-surprise\/\">Beneath The Surface: The Maple Leafs Best Player Is a Surprise<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Second Line Played Well<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>We had mentioned earlier that only five Maple Leafs\u2019 players were on the ice for more than one High-Danger Scoring Chance at five-on-five. Three of those players were the players that comprise the second line, Tavares, Mitch Marner, and Tyler Bertuzzi.\u00a0That might make someone looking at the stats think these guys had a bad game.\u00a0There is one other factor to consider when making that assumption.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The bulk of scoring for the Nashville Predators comes from one forward unit, the line of Ryan O\u2019Reilly, Filip Forsberg, and Gustav Nyquist.\u00a0Nashville was 9-2 in their previous 11 games coming into this contest.\u00a0In those 11 games, Forsberg had ten goals, and the line had 40 points.\u00a0Tavares\u2019 line was tasked with defending against this line.\u00a0They held them scoreless.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Altogether the trio of Tavares, Marner, and Bertuzzi gave up a combined ten High-Danger Scoring Chances, but they also created a combined nine High-Danger Chances of their own.\u00a0They won the Expected Goals battle slightly with 51.4% of the Expected Goals.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Coach Keefe&#8217;s Use of Marner Is Against the Other Team&#8217;s Top Line<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Sheldon Keefe usually has whatever line Marner is playing on face the other team&#8217;s top line. That was one of the reasons the top line struggled at times with Marner on it.\u00a0They had the toughest defensive assignments. By moving Marner to the Tavares line, it now faces the opposing team&#8217;s best players, leaving the Matthews\u2019 line more room to work to their offensive strengths. It might hurt Tavares and Marner\u2019s production; but, if it leads to the Maple Leafs playing a sounder defensive game and getting more wins that is a sacrifice I am sure they are willing to give.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tavares did manage an assists on Matthews\u2019 second goal to give him 998 points in his career.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Defense<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Quick test.\u00a0Which Maple Leafs\u2019 defenseman put up the best underlying numbers in the game including three High-Danger Scoring Chances For and zero against as well as an Expected Goals of 97%?\u00a0The answer is Maxime Lajoie.\u00a0Filling in for the ill William Lagesson, Lajoie played a sheltered third-pairing 14:57 but played it well.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Conor Timmins impressed me once again, playing in the top four. He logged 19:11 of ice time, just 18 seconds less than TJ Brodie (19.29). That was also almost three minutes more than his defensive partner Jake McCabe. Part of that time was the 2:36 he played on the power play and 1:31 on the penalty kill. If Timmins can keep playing at the same level he has in the past two games, it can go a long way to solving the Maple Leafs&#8217; defensive issues. That will be especially true once Timothy Liljegren and Mark Giordano return.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1000\" height=\"600\" src=\"https:\/\/oldprof.nhltradetalk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/conor-timmins-22.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-966\" srcset=\"https:\/\/oldprof.nhltradetalk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/conor-timmins-22.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/oldprof.nhltradetalk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/conor-timmins-22-300x180.jpg 300w, https:\/\/oldprof.nhltradetalk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/conor-timmins-22-768x461.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Conor Timmins, Maple Leafs<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>Morgan Rielly and Brodie were the only two defensemen on the negative side of the ledger with a combined eight and nine in High-Danger Scoring Chances and a combined Expected Goals of 44%.\u00a0But, like the Tavares line, Rielly and Brodie were tasked with facing the Predator\u2019s top line of Forsberg, O\u2019Reilly, and Nyquist. Rielly was the only defenseman to play over 20 minutes, logging a total of 26:08.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Timmns and Rielly each had an assist in the game.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Ilya Samsonov<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>This was exactly what the doctor ordered when it came to Ilya Samsonov. In this game, the team plays solid defense in front of him, limiting the dangerous scoring chances, and allowing him to settle in and play a successful game.\u00a0Samsonov didn\u2019t have to make many saves facing only 18 shots, and Nashville only had six High-Danger Scoring Chances. <\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1000\" height=\"705\" src=\"https:\/\/oldprof.nhltradetalk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/Ilya-Samsonov-2.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1940\" srcset=\"https:\/\/oldprof.nhltradetalk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/Ilya-Samsonov-2.jpeg 1000w, https:\/\/oldprof.nhltradetalk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/Ilya-Samsonov-2-300x212.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/oldprof.nhltradetalk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/Ilya-Samsonov-2-768x541.jpeg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Ilya Samsonov, Maple Leafs starting goalie<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>But, Samsonov made all the saves he needed to make to record his first shutout of the season and the 11th of his career.\u00a0His save percentage is trending towards the .900 mark and sits at 0.886% while his Goals Against Average (GAA) is trending down towards the 3.00 mark at 3.21 GAA.\u00a0What is more significant is Samsonov\u2019s won\/lost record, which sits at 5-1-3.\u00a0 He has yet to lose a game at home this season, going 4-0 at Scotiabank Place.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Bad<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>It is difficult to come up with anything bad in this game.\u00a0If I wanted to focus on anything it would be their power play.\u00a0Before they finally cashed in with the man advantage at 16:49 of the third period, the Maple Leafs had gone 0-4 with the extra man in the game.\u00a0The outcome of the game remained in question until late in the third period.\u00a0If the power play had come through earlier in the game they could have put it away much sooner than they did.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Ugly<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>I got nothing.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What\u2019s Next?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The Maple Leafs head to New York to take on the Islanders on Monday night and the Rangers on Tuesday night.\u00a0It would be cool to see Tavares get booed for notching his 1,000th point against the team he played most of his career for.\u00a0He needs two points to hit that plateau.\u00a0 I expect that Martin Jones will get his first start with the Maple Leafs in one of those games.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Maple Leafs got mixed news on Joseph Woll.\u00a0His injury was diagnosed as a High Ankle Strain and his prognosis is being talked about in weeks as opposed to months.\u00a0In researching the injury, the healing time can be anywhere from six to twelve weeks.\u00a0Toronto has placed Woll on the IR as opposed to the LTIR.\u00a0That means that Woll\u2019s salary, which is just $767,000 counts against the cap. That also means there are no restrictions on when they can bring him back.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If he were to be placed on LTIR Woll would have been forced to have missed 10 games and 24 days. Liljegren suffered a High Ankle Strain when he was slew-footed and can-opened by Brad Marchand back on November 2nd. He just started skating this week, which puts him in his sixth week.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><strong>Related: <a href=\"https:\/\/oldprof.nhltradetalk.com\/index.php\/2023\/12\/09\/maple-leafs-biggest-surprise-noah-gregor\/\">Maple Leafs Biggest Surprise This Season: Noah Gregor<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Last night, the Toronto Maple Leafs shutout the Nashville Predators 4-0. What were the good, bad, and ugly aspects of the game?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":464,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[30,33,42,36],"class_list":["post-2522","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-toronto-maple-leafs","tag-david-kampf","tag-ilya-samsonov","tag-john-tavares","tag-mitch-marner"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>The Good, Bad &amp; Ugly in Maple Leafs 4-0 Shutout of Predators<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Last night, the Toronto Maple Leafs shut out the Nashville Predators 4-0. 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